Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000539 0.000584 0.000630 0.000682 0.000738 0.000797 0.000863
2026-01-25 0.000473 0.000535 0.000603 0.000681 0.000770 0.000867 0.000982
2026-02-01 0.000418 0.000491 0.000572 0.000670 0.000785 0.000915 0.001074
2026-02-08 0.000377 0.000456 0.000547 0.000661 0.000798 0.000958 0.001160
2026-02-15 0.000344 0.000428 0.000527 0.000653 0.000810 0.000998 0.001242
2026-02-22 0.000318 0.000404 0.000509 0.000646 0.000820 0.001035 0.001319
2026-03-01 0.000295 0.000383 0.000493 0.000639 0.000829 0.001069 0.001393
2026-03-08 0.000273 0.000361 0.000474 0.000627 0.000831 0.001092 0.001453
2026-03-15 0.000254 0.000343 0.000458 0.000618 0.000834 0.001116 0.001514
2026-03-22 0.000235 0.000323 0.000439 0.000602 0.000827 0.001126 0.001556
2026-03-29 0.000220 0.000308 0.000425 0.000593 0.000829 0.001147 0.001612
2026-04-05 0.000210 0.000298 0.000418 0.000592 0.000841 0.001182 0.001688
2026-04-12 0.000200 0.000289 0.000412 0.000594 0.000858 0.001228 0.001786
2026-04-19 0.000189 0.000279 0.000404 0.000593 0.000871 0.001268 0.001878
2026-04-26 0.000177 0.000265 0.000390 0.000582 0.000871 0.001288 0.001941
2026-05-03 0.000166 0.000253 0.000379 0.000574 0.000872 0.001311 0.002009
2026-05-10 0.000157 0.000242 0.000368 0.000568 0.000876 0.001337 0.002081
2026-05-17 0.000149 0.000233 0.000359 0.000561 0.000880 0.001362 0.002155
2026-05-24 0.000141 0.000224 0.000350 0.000555 0.000883 0.001387 0.002228
2026-05-31 0.000133 0.000214 0.000339 0.000545 0.000879 0.001401 0.002282
2026-06-07 0.000125 0.000205 0.000329 0.000537 0.000878 0.001418 0.002343
2026-06-14 0.000118 0.000195 0.000317 0.000524 0.000868 0.001419 0.002378
2026-06-21 0.000111 0.000187 0.000308 0.000516 0.000866 0.001435 0.002436